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Commodities drop, oil down as Trump presses Saudis for more
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Euro declines on German politics; pound slides on Brexit
It was a sea of red across global equities on Monday, with European stocks and U.S. futures following a slump in Asia at the start of a crunch week for global trade. Political risks dragged the euro and pound down, and dollar strength roiled emerging assets.
Trade-war jitters, political risk in Europe and divergence in monetary policy across the world remain some of the key themes investors are grappling with following the end of the first half. In China, weaker-than-expected manufacturing data for June added to concern that the country’s growth is softening, while in Japan confidence among large manufacturers slipped during the second quarter.
“It’s not a happy start to the second half,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said by email from Copenhagen. “Trade war concerns, U.S. sanctions, Trump’s rants and political problems in Europe, as well as worries about slowing emerging-market growth are all playing their part.”
Emerging-market stocks retreated, giving up half of Friday’s gain, while developing-nation currencies also fell. Mexico’s peso reversed gains following the country’s presidential elections.
Terminal users can read more in Bloomberg’s Markets Live blog.
These are key events coming up this week:
- U.S. manufacturing probably continued to expand at a robust pace in June, economists forecast ahead of Monday’s release.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia has a policy decision Tuesday.
- The U.S. celebrates Independence Day on July 4, Wednesday. Stock and bond markets are closed, along with government offices.
- Federal Reserve releases minutes of its June 12-13 meeting, when FOMC policy makers raised the benchmark rate a quarter point for the second time this year, and lifted their median forecast to four total increases in 2018.
- U.S. payrolls are due Friday.
- Also on Friday, the U.S. is scheduled to impose tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese goods. Beijing has said it will slap tariffs on an equal value on U.S. exports including agricultural and auto exports.
Here are the main market moves:
Stocks
- The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.9 percent as of 9:27 a.m. London time, to the lowest in almost 12 weeks on the biggest fall in a week.
- Futures on the S&P 500 Index declined 0.6 percent.
- The MSCI All-Country World Index dipped 0.5 percent.
- The MSCI Emerging Market Index decreased 0.9 percent.
Currencies
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index increased 0.3 percent.
- The euro declined 0.4 percent to $1.164.
- The British pound fell 0.4 percent to $1.3156.
Bonds
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries decreased three basis points to 2.83 percent, the lowest in almost five weeks.
- Germany’s 10-year yield dipped one basis point to 0.30 percent, the lowest in almost five weeks.
- Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.278 percent.
Commodities
- The Bloomberg Commodity Index declined 0.5 percent, the largest fall in a week.
- West Texas Intermediate crude declined 0.5 percent to $73.80 a barrel, the first retreat in a week.
- LME copper decreased 0.6 percent to $6,583.00 per metric ton, the lowest in about seven months.
- Gold dipped 0.3 percent to $1,249.02 an ounce.
By Eddie van der Walt and Adam Haigh
July 2, 2018, 6:36 PM GMT+10
— With assistance by Kana Nishizawa, and Ksenia Galouchko
Source: Bloomberg