FX: quiet before FOMC: By Mary McNamara

FX movement has been fairly limited ahead of the much-anticipated FOMC and I suspect this uneasy-quiet might continue until the data release. Trend traders might be wise to wait until after this news item before trying to catch any decent new trend trade.

Data: The key event is FOMC but there is also GBP Retail Sales and EUR German PPI data worth keeping an eye on.

USDX: didn’t get much of a boost from last session’s upbeat USD data! Watch the Flag trend lines and 92.50 for any new breakout:

USDX weekly:

USDX daily:

EURX weekly: still shaping up as a Bull Flag for now but watch trend lines with FOMC:

Trend line breakout trades: just one new trade for the day:

AUD/JPY: just 45 pips but back above the key 89 level and there was a choppy TC signal for just 1R at this point:

A/J 4hr:

A/J 15 min:

EUR/JPY: now at 130 pips. Watch the major 135 level with FOMC as this is the weekly chart’s 61.8% fib:

EUR/JPY 4hr:

EUR/JPY weekly:

USD/JPY 4hr: now at 100 pips but watch the 112 level for any new make or break with FOMC:

USD/TRY 4hr: now at 650 pips but now watch the upper trend line:

EUR/USD: gave a bit of a breakout and a 2R TC signal but is pegged by 1.20 S/R ahead of FOMC. Note the revised 4hr chart trend lines.

EUR/USD 4hr:

EUR/USD 4hr: revised trend lines:

EUR/USD 15 min: a choppy TC signal for 2 R:

Other FX: watch the trend lines on the following technical patterns for any new breakout:

AUD/USD 4hr: back above the 0.80 level:

NZD/USD 4hr:

GBP/USD 4hr: consolidating near 1.35 S/R. Watch with GBP Retail Sales and FOMC:

GBP/JPY 4hr: consolidating near 150 S/R:

GBP/AUD 4hr: consolidating under 1.70 S/R:

GBP/NZD 4hr:

EUR/AUD 4hr: back consolidating under 1.50 S/R:

EUR/NZD 4hr:

AUD/NZD 4hr: consolidating near 1.10 S/R:

USD/CNH 4hr:

USD/MXN daily: a long period of sideways activity here but should eventually breakout:

Commodities:

Gold 4hr: watch trend lines and the $1,300 level for any new make or break:

Silver 4hr: holding above the daily 200 EMA:

Oil 4hr: watch the upper triangle trend line:

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